Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
907 PM CDT Tue Aug 16 2022

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-171015-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
907 PM CDT Tue Aug 16 2022

This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Far Northeast Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas.
ONSET...Ongoing.

HEAVY RAIN.
RISK...Elevated.
AREA...Northwest Arkansas.
ONSET...Tonight...Mainly After Midnight.

DISCUSSION...
More widespread storms are expected overnight as a mid level
shortwave approaches the region with the potential for locally
heavy rainfall and flooding of low lying areas in northwest
Arkansas. Upscale growth of thunderstorms is expected across far
northeast Oklahoma into northwest Arkansas later tonight.
Rainfall rates of two inches per hour will be possible and
possible training of storms could lead to localized flooding,
especially of urban and low lying areas. A few strong to
marginally severe wind gusts will remain possible as well,
especially as any complex of storms gets a little more organized
by the upper level support.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Local Spotter Activation May Be Needed.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.
FRIDAY...No Hazards.
SATURDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.
SUNDAY AND MONDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...Heavy Rain Potential.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
The potential for showers and storms will continue into Thursday
as the cold front continues to affect the area. Locally heavy
rains will continue to be possible during this time.

After dry conditions on Friday, the chances of showers and storms return
over the weekend and into early next week as a another cold front moves
into the area and stalls out. With several rounds of showers and storms
likely during this time, heavy rainfall totals are possible.

weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.